If you look at models as much as I do, you see them stir up some crazy forecasts from time to time, sometimes predicting feet of snow for areas that may see a few inches or less. How can we gauge the confidence in the models? Ensemble forecasts are the answer! I’m not just a […]

A squall line moving across the Southeast and will continue to progress eastward across portions of Alabama, Florida, and Georgia. Strong shear behind and nearly perpendicular to the line will allow for some bowed structures. Damaging winds and tornadoes will be the main threats associated with this line. In addition to the severe weather potential, […]

There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday across portions of Southern Arkansas and Northern Louisiana as a squall line that developed over the Plains overnight continues to move eastward throughout the day. Ahead of the line, further thunderstorm development is possible this afternoon with daytime heating. As thunderstorms develop, damaging winds and […]